Manufacturing Sales

MANUFACTURING SALES

Manufacturing Activity Already Slumping Prior to Rail Blockades and Coronavirus

Highlights

  • Manufacturing sales declined 0.2 per cent to $56.1 billion in January, the fifth straight monthly decline.
  • Sales fell in 6 of 11 major industries, with the biggest losses occurring in motor vehicle and parts and petroleum and coal refining. These losses were partly offset by solid gains in fabricated metals, machinery, food products, and aerospace.
  • Sales also fell in six provinces, led by Newfoundland and Labrador, New Brunswick, and BC.
  • On a positive note, both unfilled orders and new orders increased in January, as did the industry’s capacity utilization rate.
  • This report shows that Canadian factories were already struggling prior to the severe negative headwinds of the rail blockades and COVID-19 outbreak. With the economic impact of the outbreak continuing to mount, government action is needed to support manufacturers in this trying time. CME is working closely with all levels of government on the response to this ongoing crisis.

MANUFACTURING SALES FALL 0.2 PER CENT IN JANUARY

Manufacturing sales fell for the fifth straight month in January, down by 0.2 per cent to $56.1 billion. With this decline, sales dropped to their lowest level since April 2018. Adjusted for inflation, manufacturing sales declined by an even steeper 0.4 per cent.

2020 Jan MFG Sales Weakening

The January manufacturing sales report shows that Canadian factories were already struggling prior to the severe negative headwinds of the rail blockades and COVID-19 outbreak. With the economic impact of the outbreak continuing to mount, government action is needed to support manufacturers in this trying time. Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters is working closely with all levels of government on the response to this ongoing crisis.

SIX OF 11 MAJOR INDUSTRIES POST DECLINES

Six of 11 major industries recorded declines in January, with the biggest losses occurring in motor vehicle and parts (-7.6 per cent) and petroleum and coal refining (-5.2 per cent). As noted by Statistics Canada, motor vehicle and parts sales were weighed down by temporary shutdowns at some assembly plants and the December 2019 closure of GM’s plant in Oshawa. Meanwhile, partial shutdowns at some refineries for maintenance work, along with lower prices, fueled the decline in petroleum and coal refining sales. These losses were partly offset by solid gains in in fabricated metals (4.6 per cent, machinery (4.6 per cent), food products (2.6 per cent), and aerospace (2.4 per cent).

2020 Jan MFG Sales by Industry

SALES DECLINE IN SIX PROVINCES

Six provinces saw sales fall in January. Double digit declines were recorded in both Newfoundland and Labrador (-13.5 per cent) and in New Brunswick (-11.4 per cent), with more moderate drops posted in Nova Scotia (-5.6 per cent), BC (-5.1 per cent), Manitoba (-3.4 per cent), and Ontario (-1.4 per cent). The decline in Ontario was largely attributable to lower sales of motor vehicle and parts.

Sales rose in PEI (5.5 per cent), Alberta (5.2 per cent), Quebec (3.5 per cent), and Saskatchewan (1.8 per cent). Quebec posted its first increase in three months, thanks to higher sales in transportation equipment, machinery, and fabricated metal products. Likewise, Alberta saw its sales rise for the first time in three months, with food products and machinery helping spark the recovery.

2020 Jan MFG Sales By Province

UNFILLED ORDERS AND NEW ORDERS RISE

On a positive note, unfilled orders rose for the first time in four months in January, up 0.5 per cent to $97.9 billion. The increase was largely attributable to gains in the transportation equipment sector and in the chemical industry. Indeed, excluding aerospace, sales were down 0.8 per cent on the month.

New orders also increased in January, up by 0.8 per cent to $56.6 billion. According to Statistics Canada, the gains were led by transportation equipment, fabricated metal, food products, and non-metallic mineral products.

2020 Jan MFG Sales Unfilled Orders Rise

CAPACTIY UTILIZATION RATE POSTS FIRST INCREASE IN THREE MONTHS

Finally, the manufacturing industry’s capacity utilization rate climbed by 0.5 percentage points from 76.8 per cent in December to 77.3 per cent in January, the first increase since October 2019. Despite this gain, the capacity utilization rate remains well below its most recent peak of 84.2 per cent in March 2018.

2020 Jan MFG Sales Capacity Utilization Rate Posts Increase

Sources: CME; Statistics Canada.